Feb 2nd 2016

Introduction to Probability - The Science of Uncertainty (edX)

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An introduction to probabilistic models, including random processes and the basic elements of statistical inference.

The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical inference are the keys to analyzing data and making scientifically sound predictions.

Probabilistic models use the language of mathematics. But instead of relying on the traditional "theorem - proof" format, we develop the material in an intuitive -- but still rigorous and mathematically precise -- manner. Furthermore, while the applications are multiple and evident, we emphasize the basic concepts and methodologies that are universally applicable.

The course covers all of the basic probability concepts, including:

- multiple discrete or continuous random variables, expectations, and conditional distributions

- laws of large numbers

- the main tools of Bayesian inference methods

- an introduction to random processes (Poisson processes and Markov chains)

What you'll learn:

- The basic structure and elements of probabilstic models

- Random variables, their distributions, means, and variances

- Probabilistic calculations

- Inference methods

- Laws of large numbers and their applications

- Random processes

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